Our Fernwood.
Our Victoria.
Victoria municipal election · October 17, 2026

Every ballot deserves an accounting.

The City confirmed mail-ballot delivery delays. A separate voting disruption affected James Bay. With a 15-vote margin for the last council seat in the preliminary count, clear public reporting matters.

Preliminary results · Independent analysis · Updated October 18, 2026
What we know

Start with the documented numbers.

31,281Total voters · City preliminary report
2,007Mail ballots counted · City preliminary report
15Votes separating 8th and 9th place
41.44%Overall voter turnout · City preliminary report

Sources: City preliminary results and statement of votes cast.

Reported mail-ballot issue

Approximately 3,700 requests and 2,300 delayed packages have been reported. Those figures still require a published, reconciled official count. The City independently confirmed a delivery delay.

What 1,693 actually means

3,700 minus 2,007 = 1,693. This is a difference between reported requests and counted mail ballots, not a confirmed count of voters who missed voting. Some applicants may have voted in person or used replacement ballots.

Historical comparison · polling-place and mail votes

2022 vs. 2026: Two different voting trends.

Citywide ballot counts rose, while ballots cast at polling locations physically in James Bay fell. Mail voting also accounted for a smaller share of all ballots.

Change in ballots cast

James Bay polling sites−32.7%
Victoria citywide+13.9%

Bars index 2022 to 100%; 2026 James Bay is 67.3% of its 2022 count, while citywide is 113.9%. Chart uses percentages, not equal raw ballot totals.

Mail ballots as share of all ballots

20229.78%
20266.42%

Scale: 10% maximum. Mail-ballot share declined 3.36 percentage points.

Measure20222026 preliminaryChange
James Bay polling locations3,0692,064−32.7%
Citywide ballots cast27,45231,281+13.9%
Mail ballots counted2,6852,007−25.3%
Mail ballots / all ballots9.78%6.42%−3.36 percentage points
Citywide turnout37.98%41.44%+3.46 percentage points

Read this carefully: The 2022 James Bay total combines Community School (1,682) and New Horizons (1,387). The 2026 total is Community School (2,064), with New Horizons not used as an election-day polling location. These figures are polling-place counts, not James Bay residents’ turnout. Voters could use other locations and voting methods. The change does not establish that votes were lost.

Sources: 2022 statement of votes cast · 2026 preliminary statement of votes cast. Confirm historical counts against the original City documents before external publication.

Neighbourhood polling locations · 2022 vs. 2026

Where did polling-place ballot counts change?

These comparisons group selected polling places by their geographic area. They do not measure turnout by residents of those neighbourhoods: voters could cast ballots elsewhere, and several voting locations changed between elections.

Percentage change in ballots cast

Victoria citywide: +13.9%. Bars are drawn relative to the same zero baseline; left indicates a decrease and right an increase.

Area or voting location20222026Change
James Bay (combined locations)3,0692,064−32.7%
Fairfield & Gonzales (selected locations)6,0923,657−40.0%
Oaklands Elementary1,9762,122+7.4%
Vic West Elementary1,6391,851+12.9%
Quadra Elementary1,4951,161−22.3%
Central Middle School1,9432,456+26.4%
George Jay Elementary1,3921,220−12.4%
Glenlyon Norfolk1,7661,680−4.9%
Victoria citywide27,45231,281+13.9%

What should be explained? Why did some polling locations record fewer ballots even as citywide participation increased? How did closures, new voting locations, advance voting and the James Bay connectivity disruption affect where voters cast their ballots? No number in this chart establishes how many eligible voters were unable to vote.

The Fairfield & Gonzales grouping is provisional and requires verification against both original precinct reports before public release. Other figures are transcribed from the earlier comparison and should also be cross-checked. Sources: 2022 votes cast · 2026 preliminary votes cast.

Candidate support · mail vs other voting

Mail voters chose differently.

These bars show the percentage of voters selecting each candidate, comparing mail ballots with all other voting methods. This is not the percentage of each candidate's total votes cast by mail. Voters could select up to eight councillors.

Mail voters (2,007)Other voters (29,274)Difference shown in percentage points

The bars are derived from candidate mail counts and total votes in the City's preliminary statement. The 29,274 other voters equal 31,281 total minus 2,007 mail ballots. Candidates are ordered by preliminary overall rank.

What happened on election week

Two documented trouble spots.

Mail-ballot delivery

The City said Canada Post delays affected requested ballots. It urged voters to return completed ballots directly, use drop boxes, or vote in person rather than risk a late postal return.

Read the City's official notice ↗

James Bay Community School

On October 17 at 3 p.m., the City reported an internet connectivity issue slowing voter check-in and registration at James Bay Community School. It arranged a free shuttle to Crystal Garden and back.

Read the City's election update ↗

Important: These disruptions are documented. The number of voters who were unable to cast a counted ballot because of either disruption has not been established here. James Bay's incident is not evidence of a neighbourhood-specific voting outcome.

Polling-place results · October 17

How James Bay voted.

At James Bay Community School, 2,064 ballots were cast. This chart ranks the 12 leading council candidates by votes at that location. The dashed dividing line marks the eighth-place cutoff at this polling place, not the citywide election result.

CandidateVotes at James Bay

Source: City of Victoria preliminary statement of votes cast. These are ballots cast at the James Bay Community School polling place, not a measure of all James Bay residents. The connectivity issue does not establish how any voters unable to vote would have voted.

Explore a hypothetical scenario

Could additional mail votes affect the ranking?

Enter a number of hypothetical additional ballots (starting at zero). The model applies the same candidate support rates as the mail ballots already counted. It does not estimate how many ballots were actually lost.

CandidateCurrent votesCurrent rankMail supportAdded votesNew totalNew rank

Assumptions: candidate-specific rates stay unchanged; added votes rounded independently; no adjustment for replacements, in-person voting, or changed preferences. A scenario is not an election result.

The information still needed

Five questions for the City.

  1. How many original and replacement mail-ballot packages were issued?
  2. How many were received and accepted by the October 17 deadline?
  3. How many applicants voted in person or with a replacement ballot?
  4. How many completed ballots arrived after the deadline?
  5. How many mail-ballot applicants did not ultimately cast a counted vote, and is there an incident report for the James Bay disruption?

For ballot handling and polling-site questions, contact the City of Victoria Elections Office first. The provincial local-government office can receive governance concerns. Elections BC primarily regulates local election advertising and campaign financing; it does not administer the City's vote count.

Check the record

Sources and methodology.

  1. City of Victoria: 2022 statement of votes cast · historical polling-place and mail-ballot comparison
  2. City of Victoria: Preliminary statement of votes cast · candidate totals and mail-ballot results
  3. City of Victoria: Preliminary election results (October 17) · turnout and elected positions
  4. City of Victoria: Canada Post mail-ballot delay notice · disruption and voting options
  5. City of Victoria: Elections and Referendums · October 17 James Bay connectivity update
  6. Times Colonist: Mail-ballot return options · contemporaneous reporting

Data notes: Mail support = candidate mail votes ÷ 2,007. Other-voter support = (candidate total votes − candidate mail votes) ÷ (31,281 − 2,007). The percentages are selection rates, not shares that add to 100%. 2022 comparisons use the linked historical statement; the 2026 count is preliminary. Changes in voting-site availability limit neighbourhood comparisons.

Voting access · 2022 vs. 2026

Where Victorians could vote

The City changed its election-day voting locations between 2022 and 2026. The lists show where locations opened or closed, but do not establish why the changes were made or whether any eligible resident was unable to vote.

13 → 12Election-day voting locations
52022 locations not used in 2026
4New locations in 2026

Which locations changed?

Not used in 2026 (2022 sites)Added for 2026
James Bay New Horizons CentreCrystal Garden
Cook Street Village Activity CentreVictoria High School
Margaret Jenkins Elementary SchoolQuadra Village Neighbourhood Gym
Central Baptist ChurchRoyal Canadian Legion Branch 292
SJ Burnside Education Centre—

What happened at James Bay?

Two election-day locations in James Bay in 2022 became one in 2026. The City reported an October 17 connectivity problem at James Bay Community School that slowed check-in and registration, and offered a free bus to Crystal Garden. It has not established publicly how many voters, if any, failed to cast a ballot as a result.

Neighbourhood voting-place availability

Demographic and candidate figures below are included as submitted, prominently labelled provisional until reconciled with City records.

Neighbourhood grouping2022 sites2026 sites2021 residents*65+*Residents per 2026 site*
James Bay2113,05536%13,055
Fairfield + Gonzales3116,04028%16,040
Burnside/Gorge116,87527%6,875
Victoria West118,36524%8,365
Jubilee + Rockland119,03024%9,030
Oaklands117,58520%7,585
Downtown119,12016%9,120
Fernwood + North Park2313,92515%4,642
Hillside/Quadra127,86014%3,930

*Provided figures awaiting reconciliation with the City of Victoria neighbourhood profiles. Groupings are approximate and are not official electoral districts. The supplied population rows total 91,855, so the stated 7,655 citywide residents-per-site average must not be treated as verified.

Residents per voting place (illustrative)

Fairfield + Gonzales16,040
James Bay13,055
Downtown9,120
Jubilee + Rockland9,030
Victoria West8,365
Oaklands7,585
Burnside/Gorge6,875
Fernwood + North Park4,642
Hillside/Quadra3,930

Illustrative only. Residents are all ages and may vote at any City voting location. Site capacity and voter travel distance are not represented.

Election-day ballots at selected sites

2026 locationBallots cast
James Bay Community School2,064
Sir James Douglas Elementary1,977
Victoria High School (new)1,377
Royal Canadian Legion Branch 292 (new)1,150
Quadra Village Neighbourhood Gym (new)713

Precinct figures reproduced from the submitted analysis; confirm against the City's final Statement of Votes Cast before treating as certified.

Candidate support by voting location

All 21 council candidates are listed. Citywide and mail percentages are calculated from the preliminary totals already used in this site; James Bay percentages are shown where the site has candidate counts. Victoria High and Quadra Gym percentages are submitted figures for seven candidates only and remain unverified. The remaining candidate percentages are marked Not verified, not zero. Not verified means the candidate’s voting-place result has not been checked against the official precinct statement. It does not mean zero votes.

CandidateCitywideVictoria HighQuadra GymJames BayMail
Stephen Hammond48.2%31.0%27.5%49.9%60.2%
Matt Dell45.7%60.4%60.3%40.0%38.5%
Marg Gardiner45.4%26.7%23.0%51.1%58.1%
Jeremy Caradonna45.2%59.3%56.0%38.0%38.6%
Melissa Cseszko44.7%——47.5%56.1%
Jack Sandor44.0%——38.3%36.3%
Wendy Bowkett43.3%——46.1%55.4%
Dave Thompson41.9%52.5%51.1%35.7%37.2%
Krista Loughton41.8%52.1%57.4%35.8%37.5%
Bella Lee41.4%——35.9%31.9%
Arthur McInnis41.3%——46.9%54.8%
Karen Rothe40.9%——42.8%51.7%
Susan Kim31.6%45.3%47.1%—25.5%
Peter Rose Gibbs28.1%———21.6%
Jerry Garcia22.8%———27.7%
Jason Heit18.2%———24.5%
Martin Girard9.1%———7.5%
Shona Dion7.6%———6.6%
Herb Collins6.3%———6.7%
Steve Filipovic3.4%———3.5%
James Harasymow2.2%———2.3%

Voting-place results describe ballots cast at a location, not the residential preferences of its surrounding neighbourhood.

Five questions for the City

  1. What criteria determined the 2026 voting-place locations, and why was each site added or removed?
  2. Did the May 2026 staff report to council identify these changes and evaluate accessibility?
  3. What assessment was made of travel distances and access for older residents in James Bay and Fairfield–Gonzales?
  4. What backup check-in procedures were planned for a connectivity outage, and what happened at James Bay?
  5. Will the City release polling-location selection criteria and any available incident and ballot-reconciliation records?

Method: Counts compare City-published general voting-day location lists, not the number of polling stations assigned exclusively to neighbourhood residents. Voters could vote at any City location. The neighbourhood population, age-65-plus percentages, residents-per-site ratios, and some candidate-by-site percentages are included as provisional figures supplied for this analysis. They have not been independently verified against the underlying census tables and precinct-level statement. The 2026 election figures are preliminary.

Sources: City 2022 voting-place list · City 2026 voting-place list · City election updates and preliminary results · City neighbourhood boundaries.