Mail-ballot delivery
The City said Canada Post delays affected requested ballots. It urged voters to return completed ballots directly, use drop boxes, or vote in person rather than risk a late postal return.
The City confirmed mail-ballot delivery delays. A separate voting disruption affected James Bay. With a 15-vote margin for the last council seat in the preliminary count, clear public reporting matters.
Preliminary results · Independent analysis · Updated October 18, 2026Sources: City preliminary results and statement of votes cast.
Approximately 3,700 requests and 2,300 delayed packages have been reported. Those figures still require a published, reconciled official count. The City independently confirmed a delivery delay.
3,700 minus 2,007 = 1,693. This is a difference between reported requests and counted mail ballots, not a confirmed count of voters who missed voting. Some applicants may have voted in person or used replacement ballots.
Citywide ballot counts rose, while ballots cast at polling locations physically in James Bay fell. Mail voting also accounted for a smaller share of all ballots.
Bars index 2022 to 100%; 2026 James Bay is 67.3% of its 2022 count, while citywide is 113.9%. Chart uses percentages, not equal raw ballot totals.
Scale: 10% maximum. Mail-ballot share declined 3.36 percentage points.
| Measure | 2022 | 2026 preliminary | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Bay polling locations | 3,069 | 2,064 | −32.7% |
| Citywide ballots cast | 27,452 | 31,281 | +13.9% |
| Mail ballots counted | 2,685 | 2,007 | −25.3% |
| Mail ballots / all ballots | 9.78% | 6.42% | −3.36 percentage points |
| Citywide turnout | 37.98% | 41.44% | +3.46 percentage points |
Read this carefully: The 2022 James Bay total combines Community School (1,682) and New Horizons (1,387). The 2026 total is Community School (2,064), with New Horizons not used as an election-day polling location. These figures are polling-place counts, not James Bay residents’ turnout. Voters could use other locations and voting methods. The change does not establish that votes were lost.
Sources: 2022 statement of votes cast · 2026 preliminary statement of votes cast. Confirm historical counts against the original City documents before external publication.
These comparisons group selected polling places by their geographic area. They do not measure turnout by residents of those neighbourhoods: voters could cast ballots elsewhere, and several voting locations changed between elections.
Victoria citywide: +13.9%. Bars are drawn relative to the same zero baseline; left indicates a decrease and right an increase.
| Area or voting location | 2022 | 2026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Bay (combined locations) | 3,069 | 2,064 | −32.7% |
| Fairfield & Gonzales (selected locations) | 6,092 | 3,657 | −40.0% |
| Oaklands Elementary | 1,976 | 2,122 | +7.4% |
| Vic West Elementary | 1,639 | 1,851 | +12.9% |
| Quadra Elementary | 1,495 | 1,161 | −22.3% |
| Central Middle School | 1,943 | 2,456 | +26.4% |
| George Jay Elementary | 1,392 | 1,220 | −12.4% |
| Glenlyon Norfolk | 1,766 | 1,680 | −4.9% |
| Victoria citywide | 27,452 | 31,281 | +13.9% |
What should be explained? Why did some polling locations record fewer ballots even as citywide participation increased? How did closures, new voting locations, advance voting and the James Bay connectivity disruption affect where voters cast their ballots? No number in this chart establishes how many eligible voters were unable to vote.
The Fairfield & Gonzales grouping is provisional and requires verification against both original precinct reports before public release. Other figures are transcribed from the earlier comparison and should also be cross-checked. Sources: 2022 votes cast · 2026 preliminary votes cast.
These bars show the percentage of voters selecting each candidate, comparing mail ballots with all other voting methods. This is not the percentage of each candidate's total votes cast by mail. Voters could select up to eight councillors.
The bars are derived from candidate mail counts and total votes in the City's preliminary statement. The 29,274 other voters equal 31,281 total minus 2,007 mail ballots. Candidates are ordered by preliminary overall rank.
The City said Canada Post delays affected requested ballots. It urged voters to return completed ballots directly, use drop boxes, or vote in person rather than risk a late postal return.
On October 17 at 3 p.m., the City reported an internet connectivity issue slowing voter check-in and registration at James Bay Community School. It arranged a free shuttle to Crystal Garden and back.
Important: These disruptions are documented. The number of voters who were unable to cast a counted ballot because of either disruption has not been established here. James Bay's incident is not evidence of a neighbourhood-specific voting outcome.
At James Bay Community School, 2,064 ballots were cast. This chart ranks the 12 leading council candidates by votes at that location. The dashed dividing line marks the eighth-place cutoff at this polling place, not the citywide election result.
Source: City of Victoria preliminary statement of votes cast. These are ballots cast at the James Bay Community School polling place, not a measure of all James Bay residents. The connectivity issue does not establish how any voters unable to vote would have voted.
Enter a number of hypothetical additional ballots (starting at zero). The model applies the same candidate support rates as the mail ballots already counted. It does not estimate how many ballots were actually lost.
| Candidate | Current votes | Current rank | Mail support | Added votes | New total | New rank |
|---|
Assumptions: candidate-specific rates stay unchanged; added votes rounded independently; no adjustment for replacements, in-person voting, or changed preferences. A scenario is not an election result.
For ballot handling and polling-site questions, contact the City of Victoria Elections Office first. The provincial local-government office can receive governance concerns. Elections BC primarily regulates local election advertising and campaign financing; it does not administer the City's vote count.
Data notes: Mail support = candidate mail votes ÷ 2,007. Other-voter support = (candidate total votes − candidate mail votes) ÷ (31,281 − 2,007). The percentages are selection rates, not shares that add to 100%. 2022 comparisons use the linked historical statement; the 2026 count is preliminary. Changes in voting-site availability limit neighbourhood comparisons.
Voting access · 2022 vs. 2026
The City changed its election-day voting locations between 2022 and 2026. The lists show where locations opened or closed, but do not establish why the changes were made or whether any eligible resident was unable to vote.
| Not used in 2026 (2022 sites) | Added for 2026 |
|---|---|
| James Bay New Horizons Centre | Crystal Garden |
| Cook Street Village Activity Centre | Victoria High School |
| Margaret Jenkins Elementary School | Quadra Village Neighbourhood Gym |
| Central Baptist Church | Royal Canadian Legion Branch 292 |
| SJ Burnside Education Centre | — |
Two election-day locations in James Bay in 2022 became one in 2026. The City reported an October 17 connectivity problem at James Bay Community School that slowed check-in and registration, and offered a free bus to Crystal Garden. It has not established publicly how many voters, if any, failed to cast a ballot as a result.
Method: Counts compare City-published general voting-day location lists, not the number of polling stations assigned exclusively to neighbourhood residents. Voters could vote at any City location. The neighbourhood population, age-65-plus percentages, residents-per-site ratios, and some candidate-by-site percentages are included as provisional figures supplied for this analysis. They have not been independently verified against the underlying census tables and precinct-level statement. The 2026 election figures are preliminary.
Sources: City 2022 voting-place list · City 2026 voting-place list · City election updates and preliminary results · City neighbourhood boundaries.